Building a model to predict the NBA's MVP Award winner.
this is incredibly cool
L = -37.7 + 0.40 * 26.4
+ 0.46 * 12.4
+ 0.49 * 9.0
+ 26.6 * 0.695
= 1.39
this equals 1.46. Am I missing something?
No, it's because I didn't display many decimals. This should give you 1.39:
-37.65512 + 0.39909 * 26.3924 + 0.45562 * 12.3544 + 0.48969 * 8.9620 + 26.61089 * 0.6951
Oh, gotcha. I'm curious, do you know what the formula is now? Because the tracker's probability for your example of 2024 doesn't match those given here. Joker ended at 56.5% for example.
Which tracker?
Oh, the one on basketball reference now
Are you sure that media voters don't take advanced stats such as WS or PER into account, even though they should?
this is incredibly cool
L = -37.7 + 0.40 * 26.4
+ 0.46 * 12.4
+ 0.49 * 9.0
+ 26.6 * 0.695
= 1.39
this equals 1.46. Am I missing something?
No, it's because I didn't display many decimals. This should give you 1.39:
-37.65512 + 0.39909 * 26.3924 + 0.45562 * 12.3544 + 0.48969 * 8.9620 + 26.61089 * 0.6951
Oh, gotcha. I'm curious, do you know what the formula is now? Because the tracker's probability for your example of 2024 doesn't match those given here. Joker ended at 56.5% for example.
Which tracker?
Oh, the one on basketball reference now
Are you sure that media voters don't take advanced stats such as WS or PER into account, even though they should?